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Friday Edition
Friday July 24, 2026  •  A Flat Index, a Rotation Beneath It

Intel Sinks After Its Beat, Apple and Banks Carry a Flat Friday

Intel beat on revenue and fell 7.9% on a bigger spending guide, the memory chips dropped with Seoul, and Apple rose 3.5%, all on a day the S&P 500 closed up 0.05%.

Friday 4pm close S&P 7,411.98 +0.05%  ·  NASDAQ 24,975.82 −0.64%  ·  DOW 51,947.25 +0.46%  ·  RUSSELL 2000 −0.35%  ·  VIX 18.58 −0.6%  ·  WTI 90.47 −1.9%  ·  GOLD 4,056 +0.2%  ·  10Y 4.68% −2bp
The capital-spending tape INTEL −7.9%  ·  MICRON −7.0%  ·  NEBIUS −15.0%  ·  BLOOM ENERGY −14.9%  ·  APPLE +3.5%  ·  IBM +3.7%
Week so far, Mon–Fri S&P −0.42%  ·  NASDAQ −2.09%  ·  DOW +0.21%  ·  WTI +8.7%  ·  10Y +8bp
Line chart of the semiconductor ETF SMH, the financials ETF XLF, and Apple, each indexed to 100 from July 15 through July 24. The three lines track together until July 23, then split hard into Friday: semiconductors fall to about 95, while Apple rises to about 102 and financials hold near their start.

Each indexed to 100 at the July 15 close. The three lines track the week together until July 23, then split into Friday: semiconductors down, financials and Apple up.

The index closed flat, the split did not

7,411.98 is where the S&P 500 finished Friday, up 0.05%, the kind of close that reads as a day when nothing happened. Underneath it the Dow rose 0.46% and the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.64%, and the distance between those two was the whole session.

18.58 is where the VIX closed, down on the day, even as the Nasdaq-100 fell more than 1% on the QQQ. A tech tape selling off while the fear gauge eases is not a market cutting risk; it is a market moving money from one place to another. The flat index was a cancellation, not a calm.

Intel beat on revenue and fell on spending

16.1 billion dollars is what Intel reported for the quarter, revenue up 25% and its fastest growth in about fifteen years, and the stock fell 7.9% on Friday to 92.32. The beat was not the story. The spending was: Intel lifted its 2026 capital-budget guide above 20 billion dollars and pointed to a higher number in 2027.

13% was the gain Intel put on in Thursday evening dealing, before it gave all of it back and more once the capital line was read in daylight. It reported after Thursday's close, jumped on the revenue, and gave it all back the next day. The revenue grew 25%, and it did not matter.

Line chart of Alphabet, Tesla, IBM, and Intel each indexed to 100 from July 17 through July 24. IBM is the only line finishing above where it started; Tesla falls hardest to about 82; Intel rises early then drops sharply into Friday; Alphabet settles near 92.

Each indexed to 100 at the July 17 close. IBM, which cut its revenue outlook, is the only line above where it started. Intel, which beat, is the one falling fastest into Friday.

The names that reported stopped falling

319.74 is where Alphabet closed Friday, up 0.65%, its first green session since it reported a 44.9 billion dollar quarterly capital budget and a halted buyback earlier in the week. Tesla fell 2.08% to 313.03, a fraction of the 14.5% it had lost the session before, and Texas Instruments trimmed its decline to 1.9%. The reports that broke the tape midweek had stopped breaking it.

214.19 is where IBM closed, up 3.65%, above where it traded before it cut its full-year revenue-growth outlook to a range of 4 to 5%. The company that lowered its top line finished the week higher; the companies that grew revenue more than 20% finished it lower. Friday paid for the cash behind the growth, not the growth.

The selloff changed names

15% is what Nebius lost on Friday, with Bloom Energy down 14.9%, CoreWeave down 11.4%, and Micron and the chip index down 7.0% and 3.3%. None of these companies reported on Friday. What they share is a capital budget: the companies that rent out computing power, the data-center power suppliers, and the memory makers are the parts of the market spending the most to build artificial-intelligence capacity, and the drop carried the memory names down with Seoul's overnight session.

Horizontal bar chart of the largest single-day moves on July 24, sorted by size. Nebius down 15.0%, Bloom Energy down 14.9%, CoreWeave down 11.4%, Astera Labs down 10.8%, Intel down 7.9%, and Micron down 7.0% in red; Apple up 3.5% and IBM up 3.7% in green.

Friday's largest single-day moves, sorted by size. The losers are the names spending to build AI capacity. The two gainers are not.

3.5% is what Apple gained, to 333.02, on a deal to build its Maps software into Ford vehicles and a raised price target from Morgan Stanley, and the financials rose 0.86% on the day. The money leaving the capital-spending names went to the parts of the market that do not carry the same build cost. Digital Realty, the landlord that collects rent on data centers rather than paying to fill them, rose 11%.

Underneath, the fear never came

90.47 is where West Texas crude settled, down 1.9%, with Brent down 2.3% and back below 100 after a report that Pakistan was pushing to restart talks between the United States and Iran. The supply premium that had run oil up more than 8% on the week bled off its top, and the geopolitical bid that would have made this a risk-off day was easing rather than building.

53.6 was the S&P Global flash reading on July business activity, an eight-month high with the steepest rise in input prices in about four years, and the 10-year Treasury yield fell about 2 basis points to 4.68% anyway. A hot growth-and-inflation print landed at mid-morning and the bond market looked past it to the oil tape. With the Federal Reserve in its blackout before the July 28 and 29 meeting, rates took their cue from crude, not from the data.

Intel grew revenue 25%, the most in about fifteen years, and fell 7.9% on a raised capital-spending guide, while Nebius, Bloom Energy, and the memory makers, none of which reported, fell between 7% and 15% on the same line. Alphabet, Tesla, and IBM, the names that broke the tape earlier in the week, stopped falling, and Apple and the banks rose. On a day the S&P 500 moved 0.05% and the VIX fell, the market stopped pricing individual earnings and started pricing one thing across the whole tape: the cost of building artificial-intelligence capacity.
END
eli terminal  •  Friday July 24, 2026